Skymet, the private weather forecasting agency, today(21st Feb.2022) said that the 2022 southwest monsoon could be ‘normal’, finishing around the mid-way mark of the normal range of 96-104 percent of the Long Period Average (LPA).
LPA for the four-month southwest monsoon season that starts from June is 881 millimeters.
“Monsoon has large inter-annual fluctuations in its arrival, intensity, duration, and withdrawal. It is rather early to decode all these aspects at this stage. But there are precursors to get an early glimpse and gauge its health during the four-month-long season,” Skymet said in a statement.
It added that back-to-back La Nina seen in the last two monsoon seasons had started shrinking now, which also means that monsoon 2022 is going to be a devolving La Nina to start with and turn neutral later.
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