The present Covid-19 pandemic situation across key economic hubs will dent corporate earnings in the June 2021 quarter (Q1FY22), but the markets will take this in their stride and digest them as a one-time hit look forward to growth as the economy normalises after this wave, believe analysts. They expect the second wave in India to peak by June. Economic normalisation, is likely by August – September 2021 according to them.
Economic pain, most analysts believe, will be restricted to the second quarter of this fiscal (Q2FY22) as the stringency of the lockdown measures is relatively low as compared to the first wave in 2020. Yet, leading brokerages and rating agencies, including Moody’s, Nomura, Crisil, QuantEco Research, and CARE Ratings, have cut India’s GDP growth estimates for FY22.
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