Tag: imf

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the wait for India to become a $5-trillion economic powerhouse by 2024-25 (FY25) is going to take longer than what the finance ministry had originally intended. The vision will instead be achieved in 2028-29 (FY29), revealing the IMF data, illustrating a four-year delay. Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) V Anantha Nageswaran had in February said India would become a $5-trillion economy by 2025-26 or the following year, on the back of an 8-9 percent sustained growth rate in the real gross domestic product (GDP). Read more

The IMF (International Monetary Fund) has cut India's economic growth forecast to 9 percent (from the earlier forecast of 9.5%) for the current fiscal year ending March 31, on concerns over the impact of a spread of a new variant of coronavirus on business activity and mobility. In its latest update of World Economic Outlook yesterday(25th Jan.2022), the international financial institution, which had in October last year projected a 9.5 percent GDP growth for India, put the forecast for the next fiscal FY23 (April 2022 to March 2023) at 7.1 percent. The Indian economy had contracted by 7.3 percent in the 2020-21 fiscal year. Read more

In across-the-board selling by the investors, the benchmark indices tumbled for a third day while volatility shot up ahead of the US Federal Reserve outcome later today and Thursday's July F&O expiry. Overall, the BSE barometer Sensex gave up the 52,000 marks as it cracked 776 points to day's low of 51,803. NSE's Nifty50 tumbled over 200 points to 15,513. Index heavyweights HDFC twins, Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, and Infosys were among the top Sensex drags. Select counters like IndusInd Bank, HUL, and Titan held their ground. Investors, meanwhile, turned poorer by nearly Rs 3 trillion. Today's (27th July 2021) fall is due mainly to a regulatory crackdown by the Chinese government. Investors worried whether the selloff in Chinese tech stocks would spread to other segments. Read more

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) yesterday (13th October 2020) slashed the growth forecast for India saying that the country’s economy will contract 10.3% in FY21, the third steepest decline after Spain and Italy, and the sharpest fall among emerging markets and developing countries. This is the second downgrade for India by IMF after it reversed its forecast of 1.9% growth in April to a 4.5% contraction in June for 2020-21. The economies of Spain and Italy are seen shrinking by 12.8% and 10.6%, respectively. IMF’s forecast for the Indian economy is gloomier than the Reserve Bank of India’s projection of a 9.5% contraction in the real gross domestic product (GDP) in the full fiscal. The economy shrank an unprecedented 23.9% in the June quarter. Last week, the World Bank said the situation in India is worse than ever, forecasting the country’s economy will shrink 9.6% in FY21, much steeper than the 3.2% fall estimated by IMF in June. Read more

IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath yesterday(2nd Sept.2020) tweeted a graph suggesting India's gross domestic product (GDP) may have shrunk the most among G-20 countries in the April-June quarter, at 25.6%, when compared with the previous quarter. In her tweet, accompanying the graph, Gopinath said, “In #GreatLockdown Q2 (June quarter) 2020 GDP growth at historical lows. The graph puts G20 growth numbers on a comparable scale, quarter-on-quarter non-annualised. Should expect rebounds in Q3 (September quarter) but 2020 overall will see major contractions. China recovers strongly in Q2 after a collapse in Q1 (March quarter)." The chart shows all countries except China registering GDP contraction. While China's economy is shown to have expanded by a robust 12.3 percent over the March quarter on a non-annualised basis, the UK is the most affected after India, with a GDP contraction of 20.4 percent. The US economy is shown to have shrunk 9.1 percent on a quarterly basis. Read more