Tag: fitch

Fitch Ratings has revised the outlook on India's long-term foreign-currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) from “negative” to “stable” on diminished downside risks to medium-term growth. It affirmed the IDR at 'BBB-'. The revision in outlook reflects India's rapid economic recovery and easing financial sector weaknesses, despite near-term headwinds from the global commodity price shock. “We expect robust growth relative to peers in order to support credit metrics in line with the current rating,” Fitch said in a statement. Read more

With the Omicron wave subsiding quickly, containment measures have been scaled back, setting the stage for a pick-up in GDP growth momentum in the June quarter this year, the agency said. It has revised upwards the GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal by 0.6 percentage points to 8.7 percent. "However, we have lowered our growth forecast for FY 2022-2023 to 8.5 percent (-1.8 pp) on sharply higher energy prices," Fitch said while revising up its inflation forecasts. In its Global economic Outlook-March 2022, Fitch said the post-COVID-19 pandemic recovery is being hit by a potentially huge global supply shock that will reduce growth and push up inflation. Read more

The downtrend in the domestic equities extended today(17TH Nov.2021) also as a global rating agency, Fitch rating's, negative outlook on India weighed on sentiment. Besides, Sebi's proposal to tweak rules governing initial public offerings (IPOs) to bring in more transparency and accountability kept investors on the edge. The BSE Sensex fell 210 points, or 0.35 percent, in early deals at 60,113 levels while the Nifty50 was at 17,939-mark. Trends in the broader markets were mixed with the Midcap index down 0.02 percent and SmallCap index up 0.25 percent. Axis Bank, RIL, Grasim Industries, UPL, HDFC twins, and Divis Labs were the top laggards on the Nifty while Asian Paints, SBI Life, Maruti Suzuki, and Eicher Motors helped limit downside. Read more

According to the rating agency Fitch.RBI's Covid-19 relief package will provide some relief to financial institutions (FIs) in the next 12-24 months. However, it will largely be at the expense of postponing the recognition and resolution of underlying asset-quality problems. There are growing indications that India’s latest wave of Covid-19 infections will add to risks among financial institutions (FIs) by sapping near-term momentum from the economic recovery, Fitch Ratings said in a statement. “We expect the shock to economic activity from the latest wave of the pandemic in India to be less severe than in 2020, even though caseloads and fatalities are much higher. The authorities are implementing lockdowns more narrowly, and companies and individuals have adjusted behaviour in ways that cushion the effects," it added. Read more

Fitch Ratings today(8th December 2020) raised India's GDP forecast to -9.4 percent in the current fiscal year to March 2021 from a previously projected contraction of 10.5 percent after the economy staged a sharper rebound in the second quarter. In its Global Economic Outlook, Fitch said the coronavirus recession has inflicted severe economic scarring and the country needs to repair balance sheets and increase caution about long-term planning. "We now expect GDP to contract 9.4 percent in the fiscal year to end-March 2021 (FY21) (+1.1 percentage point), followed by +11 percent growth (unchanged) and +6.3 percent growth (+0.3pp) in the following years," the rating agency said. The projections compare to a GDP growth of 4.2 percent in 2019-20 (April 2019 to March 2020) fiscal and 6.7 percent annual expansion between 2015 and 2019. Read more

The outlook on India's sovereign ratings has been revised to negative from stable but retained the ratings at the lowest investment grade by the Fitch Ratings. Earlier, S & P's retained the ratings and outlook on India while Moody's Investors Service downgraded the ratings but maintained the outlook. Fitch expects economic activity to contract by five percent in the current financial year from the strict lockdown measures imposed since 25 March 2020, before rebounding by 9.5 percent during the next year. The rebound will mainly be driven by a low-base effect. Read more

In its Global Economic Outlook 2020, Fitch said the number of people affected by coronavirus will keep rising in the coming weeks but that the outbreak will remain contained. However, there are downside risks to this situation. Fitch in December 2019 projected India's growth at 5.6 percent for 2020-21 and 6.5 percent in the following year. "Supply-chain disruptions are expected to hit investments and exports. We see GDP growth to remain broadly steady at 5.1 percent in the fiscal year 2020-2021 following growth of 5.0 percent in 2019-2020," Fitch said. For 2021-22, Fitch projected India's growth to be 6.4 percent. Read more