No need to lap up metal stocks yet, hint tech charts


Published On: Tuesday, September 21, 2021 | By:

No need to lap up metal stocks yet, hint tech charts

On Monday(20th Sept.2021) metal shares witnessed their biggest meltdown in recent times as a debt crisis at one of China’s biggest property developers, Evergrande, led to a global decline in industrial metals and ore prices. The BSE Metal index tumbled nearly 7 percent in trade in the last session. Naturally, the question arises that Should you enter the stocks at current levels or wait for them to turn cheaper? Tech charts suggest the latter seems to be a better option.

NIFTY METAL: The Index needs to show stability above 100-DMA

The index struggled to conquer 5,900 levels decisively, which resulted in a breach of 50-day moving average (DMA) and 100-DMA supports, according to the daily chart. The 50-DMA and 100-DMA are placed at 5,586 and 5,380 respectively. To build a positive momentum ahead, the index needs to cross and show stability above 100-DMA. When that happens, one can expect a recovery towards 50-DMA. On the flip side, if the index stays below 100-DMA, the negative sentiment may see an accelerated weakness towards 5,000 levels.

1. TATA STEEL LTD

The gap-down closing on 28 August 2021 has dismantled the positive bias as the stock failed to recover. The growing weakness led to a breach of the support at Rs 1,380-level, which is the 50-DMA.

2. JSW STEEL Ltd

Likely target: Rs 600

Downside potential: 7%

A clear breakdown of the “Ascending Triangle” hints a downside towards Rs 600 level. The current weakness is supported by strong volumes indicating aggressive selling pressure.

3. VEDANTA LTD

Likely target: Rs 300

Upside potential: 4%

The stock has held the support of 100-DMA since November 2020 and as long as the MACD stays above the zero lines, some reversal may emerge towards Rs 300 level, according to the daily chart. The 100-DMA is currently placed at Rs 281.80. The next crucial resistance is at Rs 311, where the stock may rally if it absorbs the selling pressure at Rs 300-level.

4. STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA

Likely target: Rs 99

Downside potential: 8%

STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA has entered the oversold territory of Relative Strength Index (RSI); the momentum and direction have not been able to see any major recovery. This scenario reflects weakness and possible downward movement, that may re-test the support of 200-DMA set at Rs 99 level, according to the daily chart.

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