Global GDP growth will trough at -8.6 per cent YoY in the second quarter


Published On: Tuesday, June 16, 2020 | By:

Global GDP growth will trough at -8.6 per cent YoY in the second quarter

The global economy is in a new expansion cycle and output will return to pre-coronavirus crisis levels by the fourth quarter, according to Morgan Stanley economists. “We have greater confidence in our call for a V-shaped recovery, given recent upside surprises in growth data and policy action,” economists led by Chetan Ahya wrote in a mid-year outlook research note on June 14. Predicting a “sharp but short” recession, the economists said they expect global GDP growth will trough at -8.6 percent year on year in the second quarter and recover to 3.0 percent by the first quarter of 2021as this recession is not an endogenous shock triggered by huge imbalances. It is felt that the deleveraging pressures will be more moderate. Also Policy support has been decisive, sizable, and will be effective in boosting the recovery.

We are on Telegram!

Telegram Logo

JOIN our telegram channel to receive updates on Financial News and Stock and FNO Tips.

Click Here!

Follow Us On: