Fitch Ratings, CRISIL, and SBI Research have drastically cut India’s economic growth forecast in the current fiscal year due to a prolonged lockdown. While both Fitch and CRISIL projected the economy to contract 5 percent, from their earlier estimates of the economic growth at 0.8 percent and 1.8 percent, respectively, SBI Research slashed economic contraction to 6.8 percent from earlier 4.7 percent.
CRISIL said it expected the current quarter’s GDP to shrink 25 percent year on year.
In its latest report, CRISIL said it would really be a long road to recovery, and going back to the pre-COVID-19 trend level of gross domestic product (GDP) in India will not be possible for the next three fiscal years. The lockdown extension, higher economic costs, and an economic package that lacked muscle are the three key reasons why CRISIL has downgraded the GDP forecast