Chasing market momentum has pitfalls


Published On: Wednesday, October 14, 2020 | By:

Chasing market momentum has pitfalls

Trying to chase market momentum many a time, end up burning your fingers. That is exactly what has just happened to small investors in at least nine BSE500 stocks. Retail investors, defined as those investing up to Rs 2 lakh in the shares in a company, bought so much into those nine companies during the September quarter that their combined stake in them rose by 200-700 basis points in three months. A 28-115 percent rally on such of these stocks in the June quarter seems to have drawn the investors to these counters. None of the stocks has delivered positive returns since June 30. Data showed small retail investors hiked stakes in Indiabulls Housing Finance by 432 basis points to 16.02 percent in September quarter from 11.7 percent in June quarter, following a 115 percent rally on the stock in June quarter. But the stock is down 27 percent since then.

In the case of PSU engineering major BHEL, retail investors hiked their combined holdings by 325 basis points to 13.15 per cent from 9.9 per cent sequentially, after the stock surged some 71 per cent in the June quarter. This scrip is down 20 per cent since June 30.

Similarly, GMM Pfaudler is down 13 per cent after rallying 63 per cent in the June quarter. Retail investors had increased their stake in this company to 18.52 per cent from 15.12 per cent at the end of June quarter.

Shares of Hindustan Aeronautics have remained flat since June 30 after rallying 44 per cent during the June quarter. Retail stake in this stock rose by 249 basis points sequentially, as of September 30.

South Indian Bank saw retail holding go up by 723 basis points during the quarter. They now own 59.11 per cent stake in the lender compared with 51.88 per cent in the previous quarter. But the stock is down 14 per cent since June 30 after having risen 38 per cent in the June quarter.

These stocks, which had seen a solid rally from their March lows, have since lost steam even as BSE benchmark Sensex has risen over 5,700 points since June 30, after gaining some 5,400 point gain in June quarter.

“The overheating of stock prices meant the market was discounting a quicker return to normalcy,” say expers.

JK Paper, Mahanagar Gas, Chennai Petroleum Corporation and L&T Finance Holdings are the other stocks, which have fallen 5-23 per cent since June 30 after rallying 28-38 per cent in the June quarter.


Source: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com

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